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Honestly, how can anyone say such a thing (just attempting to enter that market) would be so unlikely after Apple has made the Intel move?
I hate a lot about Microsoft and its offerings, but Active Directory and Group Policy are some of my favorite technologies ever. They absolutely rock, and until someone can do what those solutions do -- and do it better and/or cheaper, Microsoft has very little to worry about in the business market.
Now that's dealing with the userbase and what they're running. As far as replacing web servers and database solutions -- they have more immediate issues there. But those dangers are coming from Linux, not a superior desktop solution.